Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 0.666734 0.763927 0.869518 0.992643 1.132166 1.285252 1.465847
2025-01-19 0.503156 0.630637 0.781019 0.971067 1.204383 1.481000 1.833353
2025-01-26 0.413202 0.562289 0.751868 1.009535 1.349420 1.781106 2.369515
2025-02-02 0.349153 0.512754 0.735695 1.059580 1.515602 2.131870 3.024384
2025-02-09 0.287873 0.454213 0.696073 1.069925 1.629003 2.428809 3.653023
2025-02-16 0.238283 0.402196 0.655431 1.070096 1.725699 2.713888 4.304768
2025-02-23 0.200162 0.359943 0.621200 1.072563 1.823844 3.011908 5.014889
2025-03-02 0.169638 0.323871 0.589880 1.073106 1.916850 3.311719 5.765492
2025-03-09 0.148049 0.298949 0.572491 1.093087 2.043130 3.679101 6.671097
2025-03-16 0.126573 0.269863 0.542409 1.084869 2.117545 3.966226 7.474271
2025-03-23 0.112976 0.253362 0.532547 1.111652 2.257684 4.383395 8.554876
2025-03-30 0.097427 0.229733 0.504694 1.098706 2.319784 4.664501 9.418516
2025-04-06 0.086735 0.214716 0.492253 1.115761 2.445011 5.083198 10.601023
2025-04-13 0.074012 0.192541 0.460940 1.088279 2.475697 5.322199 11.463687
2025-04-20 0.068059 0.185184 0.460949 1.128842 2.655241 5.880818 13.035029
2025-04-27 0.063599 0.180627 0.466578 1.182904 2.871546 6.540661 14.892359
2025-05-04 0.057073 0.169379 0.454401 1.193356 2.991040 7.008578 16.395691
2025-05-11 0.050832 0.157564 0.438769 1.192871 3.084826 7.430805 17.847184
2025-05-18 0.045531 0.147248 0.425151 1.195164 3.185314 7.879178 19.407365
2025-05-25 0.040815 0.137606 0.411627 1.195477 3.280772 8.326503 21.014759
2025-06-01 0.037478 0.131439 0.406529 1.217417 3.433906 8.926994 23.047731
2025-06-08 0.033445 0.122158 0.390999 1.208191 3.504553 9.335881 24.664972
2025-06-15 0.031088 0.117867 0.389282 1.237764 3.682810 10.030421 27.057823